Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 11.387392 13.130374 14.993300 17.126134 19.493794 22.034918 24.961667
2025-01-26 9.389022 11.713418 14.349091 17.536755 21.264251 25.461490 30.520310
2025-02-02 7.982299 10.648737 13.825808 17.844168 22.741649 28.466107 35.608646
2025-02-09 6.793544 9.634233 13.173201 17.829116 23.709753 30.803922 39.914078
2025-02-16 5.573822 8.398446 12.074283 17.096346 23.655959 31.803835 42.545508
2025-02-23 4.788310 7.624268 11.462464 16.883930 24.174337 33.458799 45.972925
2025-03-02 4.075816 6.855371 10.764781 16.466946 24.349487 34.625335 48.762481
2025-03-09 3.556420 6.298308 10.295215 16.298633 24.806717 36.131116 51.994667
2025-03-16 3.054949 5.704135 9.708591 15.902094 24.897175 37.114484 54.529224
2025-03-23 2.745947 5.374717 9.477431 15.986293 25.639897 38.978563 58.271893
2025-03-30 2.444522 5.019981 9.171046 15.924978 26.150538 40.517142 61.592580
2025-04-06 2.228583 4.784545 9.027579 16.090533 26.982763 42.513925 65.582369
2025-04-13 2.026724 4.553161 8.874147 16.232523 27.788604 44.506580 69.639446
2025-04-20 1.906779 4.457870 8.935683 16.711831 29.114531 47.278031 74.862263
2025-04-27 1.773322 4.320301 8.911309 17.043696 30.217806 49.747696 79.706723
2025-05-04 1.601913 4.086160 8.697356 17.044045 30.794328 51.446683 83.469107
2025-05-11 1.351419 3.655224 8.092487 16.343120 30.218758 51.394354 84.657328
2025-05-18 1.196242 3.404010 7.792885 16.140622 30.423490 52.509944 87.576003
2025-05-25 1.035704 3.116393 7.397131 15.739336 30.275862 53.068666 89.662387
2025-06-01 0.919591 2.913506 7.146282 15.577378 30.509970 54.212984 92.643486
2025-06-08 0.795034 2.669443 6.789467 15.195070 30.347958 54.720868 94.655297
2025-06-15 0.726056 2.554521 6.686374 15.276344 30.976055 56.487979 98.628092
2025-06-22 0.652039 2.414030 6.516201 15.217235 31.352669 57.855546 102.004040